#polymarket

When Romania's intelligence service announced the arrest of suspected Russian...

The Supreme Court’s docket for October 2024 is not filled with routine matter...

The number hit my screen at 06:00 Stockholm time. Polymarket traders had push...

The Ninth Circuit just handed Nevada the legal authority to enforce its...

Speed is the only currency that doesn't inflate. Hook Sabrina Ionescu is back...

The data is unambiguous. Over the past 90 days, Google Trends for "prediction...

We assumed the walls of the traditional financial system were porous, allowin...

Polymarket processed over $10 billion in 2024. Gemini just launched a beta fo...

What the charts ignore. A single number: 72.5% YES. A Polymarket contract...

78% probability of an Iranian attack by July 22, 2026. The prediction market...

The 2026 World Cup final ended. Polymarket’s congratulatory press release hit...

Polymarket says there’s a 26.5% chance Iran’s airspace closes to civilian...

We assume prediction markets distill wisdom from crowds, converting uncertain...

On July 22, 2024, a congressional hearing distilled a multi-year regulatory...

The Treasury Secretary publicly urged Congress to pass the Digital Asset Mark...

45.5%. That’s the consensus price on whether the Iran blockade ends by August...

The ledger never lies, only the interpreter does. On July 31, a prediction...

The 30.5% probability was never a static number. It was a map—a liquidity...

The Ledger of War: How Polymarket's 18% Odds on Sloviansk Reveal a Mispriced...

俄罗斯通过允许受监管零售加密交易的法律，市场第一反应是看多比特币。我却盯着预测市场:Polymarket上BTC到16万美元的概率只有2.8%。 人群看到政策的

Hook On May 24, a single data point broke the sideways chop in my...

The data doesn't lie: only a 12.5% chance that Base's tokenized US stock...

We didn’t sign up for this. I stared at the Polymarket contract — “US-Iran...

The probability hit 63.5% at 14:22 UTC. No newsflash. No White House statemen...

Last week, a single data point rippled through the crypto news cycle: Lionel...

A prediction market priced a Middle Eastern military confrontation at 53%. On...

Here is the error: the market assigns a 3.7% probability to the United States...

In 2017, when the word 'utility' was still innocent, I audited 400+ ICO...

Silence in the code screams louder than volume. Over the past 72 hours, Cynth...

The data shows a single metric that most traders ignore: the Polymarket "US...

The market has spoken. A prediction market, likely Polymarket, is currently...

The charts are lying. Or rather, one of them is. On Kalshi, the probability...

Picture this. You're a market maker on Kalshi. You've deployed $500k across 4...

The blockchain doesn’t lie, but it does misspeak. On November 30, 2024,...

On a quiet Tuesday, a fabricated report of Iran's Supreme Leader passing...

Hook: The Anomaly in the Order Flow Crypto Briefing, a media outlet built on...

The chart isn't showing a price—it's showing a story of deferred hope. When t...

The chart is lying to you. But this time, it's not the chart — it's the AI th...

When the White House Calls FIFA: The Macro Case for On-Chain Sports Governanc...

A news cycle is a dangerous thing. A headline about Jordan Henderson’s injury...

The phone rang at 3 AM Seoul time. Polymarket’s legal team knew it wasn't a...

The numbers are staggering. In June 2025, prediction markets processed $5.6...