The 35% Discrepancy: Why Prediction Markets Are Lying About the Iran Oil Shock
The charts are lying. Or rather, one of them is. On Kalshi, the probability...
kalshi related articles
The charts are lying. Or rather, one of them is. On Kalshi, the probability...
Picture this. You're a market maker on Kalshi. You've deployed $500k across 4...
The numbers are staggering. In June 2025, prediction markets processed $5.6...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
92 million ARB released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,664.9 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,865.85 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$75.89 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$569.1 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0725 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1670 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.59 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8364 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.34 |